Seeking greater electrification in Sub-Saharan Africa: 'The future of energy may be built there'

Mar 21, 2022 09:50 AM ET
  • The drive to electrify Sub-Saharan Africa will certainly need US$ 350 billion of financial investment and also might expose an alternative vision for the energy transition that concentrates on a decentralised, bottom-up solar-and-storage abundant grid that benefits from affordable solar power, according to research study company Wood Mackenzie.
Seeking greater electrification in Sub-Saharan Africa: 'The future of energy may be built there'
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Its report into the energy transition in Sub-Saharan Africa said the quick decrease in the price of renewable resource, coupled with brand-new business models, might help electrify the region as well as bridge the divide in between usage and investment.

Accessibility to electricity in Sub-Saharan Africa is irregular and also has been harmed by large underinvestment in the area's electricity framework, said the report. WoodMac said it would set you back an approximated US$ 350 billion to electrify the region by 2030.

Meanwhile, population growth, rapid urbanisation and also structural economic change will see the area's electricity demand grow virtually eight-fold by 2050, according to WoodMac's 1.5 levels Celsius 'Accelerated Energy Transition scenario' (AET-1.5) report.

Most of Africa's public electric utilities are loss-making, with limited ability to maintain existing assets or purchase brand-new ones, stated WoodMac. Cash-strapped utilities are most likely to see revenues drop without comparable reductions in expense, causing more problems maintaining and expanding their networks.

As opposed to pursuing the type of organization model seen in richer nations, Sub-Saharan Africa should target decentralised, bottom-up, solar-and-storage grids that might "essentially reshape the trajectory of international electricity demand as well as will certainly be vital to the energy transition," said Benjamin Attia, primary expert with WoodMac's Energy Transition Practice.

" Decentralised, bottom-up, solar-and-storage grids could not only change sub-Saharan Africa's energy future yet lug important lessons for the next generation of thinking on utility company models worldwide. The future of energy may be created there," claimed Attia.

" Dispersed energy solution companies are using a flexible pre-paid service model to capitalize on the increasing affordability of solar and battery technologies in order to line up price, worth and energy shipment," said WoodMac. "They can likewise manage credit scores risk directly and also digitally outside the bounds of conventional utility cost-recovery mechanisms."

Attia claimed provider in the region were going "straight to the bankable segments of residential, commercial, as well as commercial electricity demand, commonly with distributed, renewable, off-grid services where the general public utility does not function."

These industries will jointly make up US$ 62 billion of the overall African electricity financial investment possibility this decade, according to WoodMac's analysis, with Attia including the chances represent "the early stages of a dramatic, fundamental development in the utility company model towards more comprehensive, customer-centric service arrangement."

Around fifty percent of African services rely upon back-up diesel generators as well as WoodMac estimates more than 100GW of dispersed diesel capacity is operational across Africa today, with at least 17 African countries having a lot more dispersed diesel generator capacity than they do grid-connected power-generation capacity.

Across Sub-Saharan Africa-- excluding South Africa-- consumers invest simply under US$ 20 billion a year on fuel for back-up generators, according to WoodMac, which is around 80% of what they spend on grid electricity even though generators provide just 7% of total electricity supply.


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