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New-build solar less costly still, but short-term spot could be really felt in H2 2021-- BloombergNEF
stated it has actually recorded increases in module costs of 7% in China as well as 10% in India given that the second fifty percent of last year.
The
Jun 25, 2021 // Markets & Finance News, BNEF, India, China, LCOE, Asia, BloombergNEF
Rebate Rollback Spurs Solar Demand Whiplash, Longi Warns
China plans to scrap a key export-tax rebate for solar products on April 1, a move aimed at industry consolidation that could trigger a pre-deadline order surge and a sharp post-cutoff slump, Longi Vice President Zhang Haimeng warned. Manufacturers may push overtime through the Lunar New Year to ship ahead.The sector, already mired in oversupply and two years of losses, faces tighter margins as record silver prices bite. Longi and peers are cutting silver usage, though the technology isn’t fully commercialized, with cost-performance clarity due in months. Longi is also testing energy-storage offerings, prioritizing Europe and eyeing the U.S.
Will China’s rebate cut trigger Q1 export surge and Q2 global supply whiplash?
Yes—expect a front‑loaded export spike in late Q1 as buyers rush to beat the April 1 rebate cut, followed by a Q2 air pocket as channels digest inventory.
Magnitude: March shipments from China could lift 15–30% month-on-month, skewed to Europe, Brazil, MENA, and ASEAN where price sensitivity is highest.
Logistics: Port congestion and container imbalances likely in March; spot freight and insurance premiums could blip up, with April sailings underbooked.
Pricing: Pre-deadline offers may compress module ASPs another 2–5% to clear slots; Q2 could see a brief price rebound if inventories tighten locally, then normalize as new quarter production ramps.
Supply chain: Overtime runs will lift March utilization at wafer/cell/module lines; April–May curtailments and maintenance windows likely as margins reset.
Technology mix: Shippers will prioritize mature TOPCon lines for volume; HJT output may lag unless secured by fixed-price offtakes due to silver intensity.
Destination markets:
Europe: High share of utility-scale buyers will overstock; Q2 tenders may slip schedules to digest inventory, pressuring local distributors.
U.S.: Limited direct impact due to tariff walls; watch rerouting via Southeast Asia and any tightening from ongoing trade cases.
Brazil/MENA: Aggressive pre-buying likely; April–May project starts could pause until Q3.
Inventory cycle: Expect 6–10 weeks of channel inventory in some hubs by early April; distributors may discount older lots to move stock.
Downstream projects: EPCs with fixed PPA CODs gain; merchant and C&I projects may “wait-and-see” in April for post‑surge pricing signals.
Polysilicon and upstream: Minimal immediate effect on poly; wafer prices may wobble as lines throttle post‑March. Watch for short‑lived cell bottlenecks in Q2 if restarts lag.
Finance/FX: Any RMB softness can cushion exporters post‑rebate; tighter working-capital needs could stress smaller manufacturers and accelerate consolidation.
Policy overlay: EU subsidy and trade scrutiny could intensify if March surge is conspicuous; any new measures would amplify Q2 volatility.
Storage tie‑in: Paired PV+storage orders may be deferred to align with Q2 module drawdowns; battery lead times help smooth the whiplash.
Indicators to watch: China customs data (March/April split), European warehouse inventories, freight rates, cell utilization indices, and tender rescheduling.
Bottom line: A Q1 sprint is likely; Q2 whiplash risk is high but transient—expect stabilization into late Q2/early Q3 as inventories clear and new pricing baselines set.
Jan 27, 2026 // Markets & Finance News, China, Asia, LONGi
Chinese Solar Manufacturer Says United States May Be Too Expensive for Expansion
leading solar product producer is intending its initial factory outside China, however might pass on the United States as a result of high prices, according to
Apr 10, 2023 // Manufacturing News, Markets & Finance News, China, Asia, gcl technology
Top Five Emerging Markets for Clean Energy Investment
the rankings. The Asian nation is followed in the top five by Chile, Brazil, China and Kenya. Below we describe what drove each of the top five markets to the
Jan 31, 2020 // Market Research, India, China, Chile, South america, Brazil, Asia, Kenya, Africa
Chinese CMC wishes to construct 100 MW solar energy plant in Serbia's Sombor
would have an ability of 100 MW.
CMC Europe is a subsidiary of state-owned China National Machinery Import and Export Corp., part of China General
Aug 12, 2021 // Plants, Europe, PV Power Plant, Serbia, CMC Europe, Antonio Ratković
GCL project development business has $1.6bn current liabilities deficit
that it appears the acquisition of at least 51% of the company’s shares by China Hua Neng Group Hong Kong Ltd – takeover rules may compel a full acquisition –
Aug 22, 2019 // Markets & Finance News, China, Hong Kong, Asia, GCL-Poly, China Hua Neng Group Hong Kong Ltd, China Three Gorges New Energy Co Ltd, GCL New Energy, Shanghai Rongyao New Energy Co Ltd
ADB might back non-Chinese solar production to strengthen Asia's ecological community
might mount 131GW every year from 2018 to 2040, he explained-- yet they lack, China apart, upstream abilities and EPC as well as O&M know-how.
" If solar PV
Apr 8, 2020 // Manufacturing News, Markets & Finance News, ADB, pv power plants, c-si manufacturing, investment, Asian Development Bank, Coronavirus, covid-19, lsdigital, financedigital
Chinese PV Industry Brief: Giant solar-plus-storage project in the Kubuqi Desert
were the champions of a 5.5 GW solar module procurement tender held by the China Energy Investment Corporation. Longi was the biggest champion, securing orders
Sep 29, 2021 // Plants, Storage, China, Asia, Trina Solar, LONGi, Jinko, Chint, solar-plus-storage project, Kubuqi Desert, Elion
SolarEdge navigates Vietnam manufacturing facility shutdown to post record solar earnings in Q3 2021
to reallocate manufacturing ability to various other areas, most significantly China. Lando said the company sustained further costs in delivery components from
Nov 3, 2021 // Manufacturing News, Markets & Finance News, Storage, Inverters, Asia, SolarEdge, Vietnam
Module prices to continue to be raised for 18 months at least as international demand skyrockets
provide and that approximately 30% of modules generated today never ever leave China, suggesting the remainder of the world is vying for the continuing to be
Mar 10, 2022 // Markets & Finance News, pv modules, polysilicon, module supply, polysilicon production, cop26, polysilicon supply, module prices, polysilicon pricing
Renewable Energy Sector Defies Supply Chain Challenges to Hit a Record First-Half For New Investment
dilemma will continue to serve as an accelerant for the clean power shift."
China published exceptional investment growth in both wind and solar project
Aug 24, 2022 // Market Research, UK, Europe
REC Silicon sells last remnants of Moses Lake polysilicon
quarter came, paradoxically, through its 15% stake in a joint venture based in China, with that said fab manufacturing 1,063 MT of fluidized bed activator product
Aug 5, 2020 // Manufacturing News, Markets & Finance News, USA, Washington, Europe, polysilicon, Montana, North America, Norway, REC Silicon
China’s Solar Boom Faces Grid Bottlenecks as Curtailment Hits Record
China’s runaway solar expansion is colliding with the hard limits of its power network. New National Energy Administration (NEA) data show solar curtailment surged to 5.7 % in the first half of 2025, almost double the 3 % recorded a year earlier. The jump comes even as the country added a mind-bending 277 GW of new PV in 2024—more than the total capacity installed by any other nation to date—and is on track for a further 200-plus GW this year.
Curtailment—electricity generated but dumped for lack of demand or transmission—has spiked in the sparsely populated interior, with Tibet, Xinjiang and Qinghai regularly breaching the government’s new 10 % tolerance threshold. Analysts warn that wastage at this level could erode project returns, chilling investment sentiment even before Beijing’s 1,200-GW-by-2030 goal is met. The State Grid Corporation is hurrying to close the gap, pledging a record ¥650 billion (US$90 billion) capex this year on ultra-high-voltage (UHV) lines and digital substations, yet most links take five years to build.
Storage is lagging too. Although China commissioned 22 GW/46 GWh of batteries last year, that covers barely one-tenth of daily solar peaks. “Generation is out-running both wires and wires-plus-storage,” says Fitch analyst Diana Xia, who predicts curtailment will stay elevated until at least 2027. Some provinces are pivoting to co-locating data centres or electrolyser clusters to soak up midday surplus, but those industrial loads remain on the drawing board.
Even so, Beijing shows no sign of hitting the brakes. May alone saw more PV added than the United States managed during all of 2024, underscoring domestic manufacturers’ grip on the global supply chain. Developers shrug off short-term slips, betting that UHV lines and market reforms will unlock coastal demand. Yet rising curtailment could squeeze margins: spot power prices in western hubs have tumbled 40 % since January as oversupply meets limited local consumption.
The coming two summers will be decisive. If grid upgrades fail to keep pace, China’s solar gold rush may find itself energy-rich but revenue-poor—a cautionary tale for any country sprinting ahead of its wires.
Aug 5, 2025 // Markets & Finance News, China, National Energy Administration, Asia, grid constraints, Solar curtailment, Renewable expansion
International Energy Agency forecasts 115 GW of new solar this year
new capacity will come from solar – 115 GW of it despite a small decline in China – as PV and wind offer very much the mainstream options.
Rapid solar
Sep 24, 2019 // Solar, Spain, China, Europe, Asia, IEA, Fatih Birol
Changzhou Almaden Invests $240M in UAE Solar Glass Factory
global growth strategy amid intense competition and falling prices in China. The factory will serve markets in the Middle East, Europe, and South Asia.
May 2, 2025 // Manufacturing News, Asia, UAE, solar glass, changzhou almaden








